Match Info

Korisliiga - Round 15

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Luhta Arena (Lahti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Lahti Basketball		Espoon Honka

	1	2
	1.93	1.81
	1.78	2.04
	1.95	1.78	Watch
	1.85	1.8
	1.97	1.78
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.6)	1.84 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahti Basketball
49.4%

Espoon Honka
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahti Basketball has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lahti Basketball's form might have worsened.

Espoon Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espoon Honka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahti Basketball than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lahti Basketball, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espoon Honka than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espoon Honka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lahti Basketball - Espoon Honka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Honka (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Espoon Honka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Honka (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:92

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Brooks M.	3. Donald T.
0. Jehloni J.	7. Ferguson A.
13. Kaunola P.	35. Kelly I.
10. Nyman V.	10. Korhonen R.
4. Williams L.	14. Uotila E.
Substitutes
22. Karvonen V.	33. Gonzalvez D. (C)
2. Kilpinen L.	1. Kallio L.
95. Peltonen K.	5. Laavainen A.
1. Saarijarvi A. (C)	8. Rissanen M.
14. Willoughby S.	25. Tuomi I.
Coaches
. Palotie K.	. Heinonen A.

Preview

Lahti has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Honka is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lahti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Honka will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 468:473. (average 93.6:94.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lahti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 210:216. (average 105:108).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lahti Basketball
Finnish Korisliiga
17.12.25	Bisons Loimaa - Lahti Basketball	77:80 ✺
10.12.25	Lahti Basketball - Pyrinto Tampere	77:78 ✺
05.12.25	Helsinki Seagulls - Lahti Basketball	73:81 ✺
22.11.25	Joensuun Kataja - Lahti Basketball	107:93 ✺
15.11.25	Lahti Basketball - Korihait	75:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWLL
- Espoon Honka
Finnish Korisliiga
16.12.25	Espoon Honka - Kauhajoen Karhu	97:79 ✺
13.12.25	Salon Vilpas - Espoon Honka	99:103 ✺
05.12.25	Espoon Honka - Korikobrat	113:83 ✺
21.11.25	Bisons Loimaa - Espoon Honka	85:87 ✺
14.11.25	Espoon Honka - Pyrinto Tampere	81:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
18.10.25	Espoon Honka - Lahti Basketball	105:87
03.03.23	Lahti Basketball - Espoon Honka	120:115 OT
01.02.23	Espoon Honka - Lahti Basketball	81:95
27.11.22	Lahti Basketball - Espoon Honka	90:101
01.10.22	Espoon Honka - Lahti Basketball	71:76

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