Match Info

NBL1 West

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Lakeside Lightning		Perth Redbacks

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.30
	1.53	2.18
	1.41	2.7
	1.56	2.24	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.75)	2.37 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 185.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lakeside Lightning
61%

Perth Redbacks
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lakeside Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lakeside Lightning's performance.

Perth Redbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Perth Redbacks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lakeside Lightning than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lakeside Lightning that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Redbacks than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Perth Redbacks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lakeside Lightning - Perth Redbacks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:91

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lakeside won 2.

Lakeside has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Perth is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Perth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lakeside could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Lakeside will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lakeside won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 860:913. (average 86:91.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lakeside won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 461:443. (average 92.2:88.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lakeside Lightning
Australian NBL1 West
12.06.26	Willetton Tigers - Lakeside Lightning	72:79 ✺
06.06.26	Mandurah Magic - Lakeside Lightning	75:91 ✺
30.05.26	Lakeside Lightning - Rockingham Flames	85:110 ✺
24.05.26	Lakeside Lightning - Geraldton Buccaneers	100:102 OT ✺
23.05.26	South West Slammers - Lakeside Lightning	77:99 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWLLW
- Perth Redbacks
Australian NBL1 West
12.06.26	Perth Redbacks - Kalamunda Eastern Suns	82:99 ✺
05.06.26	Perth Redbacks - South West Slammers	92:81 ✺
30.05.26	East Perth Eagles - Perth Redbacks	90:83 OT ✺
23.05.26	Perth Redbacks - Geraldton Buccaneers	89:112 ✺
22.05.26	Mandurah Magic - Perth Redbacks	106:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 West
15.05.26	Perth Redbacks - Lakeside Lightning	93:99
16.05.25	Lakeside Lightning - Perth Redbacks	74:89
06.07.24	Perth Redbacks - Lakeside Lightning	87:82
07.06.24	Lakeside Lightning - Perth Redbacks	109:87
28.07.23	Perth Redbacks - Lakeside Lightning	98:81
24.06.23	Lakeside Lightning - Perth Redbacks	89:86
31.03.23	Perth Redbacks - Lakeside Lightning	103:60

Lakeside Lightning - Perth Redbacks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide