Match Info

EuroBasket - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Estonia	TV6
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	Ruutu+
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Latvia	TV3
Lithuania	TV6
Norway	DAZN
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1, SportKlub 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
World	Court Side 1891


	Latvia		Serbia

	1	2
	6.25	1.13	Watch
	5.5	1.15	Watch
	6.5	1.13
	6.78	1.12
	6.86	1.08	Watch
	6.5	1.12
	6.55	1.14	Watch
	3.75	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.09 ↑ (3.75)	1.14 ↓ (1.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latvia
15.7%

Serbia
84.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Latvia's form might have worsened.

Serbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serbia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Latvia - Serbia Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Latvia will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Serbia will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Serbia: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -10.5, OT - Serbia (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +17.5, OT - Latvia (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 169.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Serbia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Latvia (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Serbia (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:93

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Bertans Dav. Dubai	30. Avramovic A. Dubai
24. Grazulis A. Joventut Badalona	23. Guduric M. Fenerbahce
19. Lomazs R. Bonn	15. Jokic N. Denver Nuggets
6. Porzingis K. Atlanta Hawks	5. Jovic N. Miami Heat
55. Zagars A. Fenerbahce	3. Petrusev F. Dubai
Substitutes
9. Bertans Dai. (C) VEF Riga	7. Bogdanovic B. (C) Los Angeles Clippers
18. Cavars K. Sabah Baku	13. Dobric O. Crvena zvezda
47. Kurucs A. Rio Breogan	24. Jovic S. Valencia
5. Mejeris M. CSU Cluj Napoca	9. Marinkovic V. Partizan
11. Smits R. Anadolu Efes	22. Micic V. Phoenix Suns
28. Steinbergs M. Manresa	33. Milutinov N. Olympiacos Piraeus
66. Zoriks K. Le Portel	11. Vukcevic T. Washington Wizards
Coaches
. Banchi L.	. Pesic S.

Preview

In recent matches, Latvia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Serbia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Latvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Serbia is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Latvia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 373:399. (average 74.6:79.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Latvia basketball
EuroBasket
29.08.25	Estonia - Latvia	70:72 ✺
27.08.25	Latvia - Turkey	73:93 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
21.08.25	Italy - Latvia	68:83 ✺
20.08.25	Greece - Latvia	104:86 ✺
16.08.25	Latvia - Slovenia	100:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW
- Serbia basketball
EuroBasket
29.08.25	Portugal - Serbia	69:80 ✺
27.08.25	Serbia - Estonia	98:64 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
21.08.25	Serbia - Slovenia	106:72 ✺
DBB Supercup
16.08.25	Germany - Serbia	81:91 ✺
15.08.25	Serbia - Czech Republic	113:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
30.06.22	Latvia - Serbia	66:59
25.11.21	Serbia - Latvia	101:100
EuroBasket
01.09.17	Serbia - Latvia	92:82
08.09.13	Serbia - Latvia	80:71
Friendly International Basketball
04.08.13	Serbia - Latvia	67:54

Latvia - Serbia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide