Match Info

Eurocup - Round 1

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Antares (Le Mans)

Referee: Lucotti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports 4
Slovenia	Sport TV3
World	EuroLeague TV


	Le Mans		Aris

	1	2
	3.90	1.23	Watch
	3.30	1.30
	3.85	1.25
	3.49	1.21
	3.15	1.32	Watch
	3.45	1.19
	3.05	1.33	Watch
	3.85	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.45)	1.26 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
26.4%

Aris
73.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Mans's form might have worsened.

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aris's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Le Mans - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Aris will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -6, OT - Aris (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Ajinca M.	92. Birch K.
10. Doumbia U.	7. Dimitrijevic N.
0. Stewart C.	0. Mitrou-Long E.
23. Wood M.	95. Mokoka A.
15. Yeguete W.	3. Robinson J.
Substitutes
26. Beracou T.
3. Cognet A.
9. Delaunay L.
32. Dufeal L.
1. Grasshoff B.
2. King J.
93. Penda S.
Coaches
. Vizade G.	. Spanoulis V.

Preview

Aris has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Aris could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Aris has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Aris is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Outrights of Eurocup for now

Aris: 12.49% Le Mans: 1.58%

Last Results with these Odds

Aris - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.03%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans Sarthe Basket
French LNB
26.09.26	Gravelines - Le Mans	97:103 OT ✺
27.05.26	Le Mans - Nanterre	55:64 ✺
25.05.26	Nanterre - Le Mans	90:74 ✺
16.05.26	Le Mans - Limoges	101:84 ✺
09.05.26	Saint-Quentin - Le Mans	85:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWW
- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Club Friendly Basketball
23.09.26	Aris - Bahcesehir Koleji	84:88 ✺
20.09.26	Aris - Mykonos	80:64 ✺
18.09.26	Crvena Zvezda - Aris	91:87 ✺
13.09.26	Aris - Crvena Zvezda	98:74 ✺
11.09.26	Aris - Maccabi Tel Aviv	87:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWL

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