Match Info

NCAA

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Le Moyne Dolphins		Mercyhurst Lakers

	1	2
	1.62	2.2
	1.63	2.18
	1.68	2.2
	1.61	2.14	Watch
	1.66	2.2
	1.69	2.18
	1.66	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.52)	2.19 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 136.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Moyne Dolphins
57.1%

Mercyhurst Lakers
42.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Moyne Dolphins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Mercyhurst Lakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Moyne Dolphins than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Moyne Dolphins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercyhurst Lakers than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mercyhurst Lakers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Le Moyne Dolphins - Mercyhurst Lakers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:67

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Le Moyne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Le Moyne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 217:219. (average 72.3:73).

Including home match between the teams, Le Moyne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 79:63.

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Le Moyne: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Moyne Dolphins basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.02.26	Le Moyne Dolphins - St. Francis PA Red Flash	86:84 ✺
05.02.26	Wagner Seahawks - Le Moyne Dolphins	79:78 ✺
31.01.26	Le Moyne Dolphins - Stonehill Skyhawks	54:65 ✺
29.01.26	LIU Sharks - Le Moyne Dolphins	83:61 ✺
26.01.26	Fairleigh Dickinson Knights - Le Moyne Dolphins	74:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW
- Mercyhurst Lakers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.02.26	Fairleigh Dickinson Knights - Mercyhurst Lakers	55:52 ✺
05.02.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - St. Francis PA Red Flash	98:89 OT ✺
31.01.26	Chicago State Cougars - Mercyhurst Lakers	78:74 ✺
29.01.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - New Haven Chargers	70:51 ✺
25.01.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Chicago State Cougars	61:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
04.01.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Le Moyne Dolphins	74:60
08.02.25	Mercyhurst Lakers - Le Moyne Dolphins	82:78
12.01.25	Le Moyne Dolphins - Mercyhurst Lakers	79:63

Le Moyne Dolphins - Mercyhurst Lakers