Match Info

NCAA

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Mercyhurst Lakers		St. Francis PA Red Flash

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Mercyhurst Lakers
73%

St. Francis PA Red Flash
27%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.7%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercyhurst Lakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

St. Francis PA Red Flash has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:65

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Mercyhurst is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

St. Francis PA has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

St. Francis PA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, St. Francis PA has had a series of home games.

In this match, Mercyhurst is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mercyhurst won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 121:131. (average 60.5:65.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mercyhurst won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 62:58.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mercyhurst Lakers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
31.01.26	Chicago State Cougars - Mercyhurst Lakers	78:74 ✺
29.01.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - New Haven Chargers	70:51 ✺
25.01.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Chicago State Cougars	61:59 ✺
23.01.26	New Haven Chargers - Mercyhurst Lakers	57:61 ✺
19.01.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	79:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW
- St. Francis PA Red Flash basketball
NCAA College Basketball
31.01.26	St. Francis PA Red Flash - New Haven Chargers	70:81 ✺
23.01.26	St. Francis PA Red Flash - Chicago State Cougars	81:60 ✺
19.01.26	St. Francis PA Red Flash - Stonehill Skyhawks	63:61 ✺
17.01.26	St. Francis PA Red Flash - Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	90:98 ✺
10.01.26	LIU Sharks - St. Francis PA Red Flash	67:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL

NCAA College Basketball
30.01.25	Mercyhurst Lakers - St. Francis PA Red Flash	62:58
10.01.25	St. Francis PA Red Flash - Mercyhurst Lakers	73:59

Mercyhurst Lakers - St. Francis PA Red Flash