Match Info

Champions League - Round 5

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Bemowo (Warsaw)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport


	Legia Warsaw		Rytas

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.7	1.43	Watch
	2.99	1.4
	2.37	1.48	Watch
	2.86	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.48)	1.45 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
35%

Rytas
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Rytas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rytas than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Legia Warsaw - Rytas Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Rytas will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rytas: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 3 - 50%). Rytas (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Pluta A.	7. Radzevicius G. (C)
15. Silins O.	9. Bruhnke K.
25. Thompson R.	8. Gudaitis A.
23. Kolenda M. (C)	77. Paliukenas M.
0. Graves J.	1. Walker J.
Substitutes
1. Czapla B.	10. Harding J.
40. Hunter S.	41. Lukosius S.
42. Ponsar C.	21. Masiulis G.
11. Shungu B.	43. Sargiunas I.
13. Tass M.	19. Stuknys N.
5. Tomaszewski W.	0. Wiley J.
32. Wilczek M.
Coaches
. Rannula H.	. Zibenas G.

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Rytas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rytas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Legia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 163:184. (average 81.5:92).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw Basketball
Polish Basket Liga
14.11.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Legia Warsaw	98:84 ✺
09.11.25	Zielona Góra - Legia Warsaw	71:88 ✺
Champions League Basketball
05.11.25	Promitheas Patras - Legia Warsaw	72:85 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
01.11.25	Legia Warsaw - Anwil Włocławek	80:75 ✺
25.10.25	Legia Warsaw - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	98:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWW
- BC Rytas
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
15.11.25	Šiauliai - Rytas	100:105 ✺
09.11.25	Rytas - Jonava	104:72 ✺
Champions League Basketball
05.11.25	Rytas - Heidelberg	116:90 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
02.11.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Rytas	79:75 ✺
25.10.25	Rytas - Šiauliai	94:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
07.10.25	Rytas - Legia Warsaw	93:85
Club Friendly Basketball
14.09.23	Rytas - Legia Warsaw	91:78

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