Match Info

BNXT League - Round 8

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportcomplex 1574 (Leiden)


	Leiden		Oostende

	1	2
	1.8	1.88	Watch
	1.8	1.94
	2.02	1.64	Watch
	1.79	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.02)	1.84 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiden
49.8%

Oostende
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Oostende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oostende than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Leiden - Oostende Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Huurman S.	16. Bratanovic H.
17. Kruithof L.	1. Estrada A.
0. Mc Collum J.	30. Gillet P. (C)
28. Roberts N.	8. Mennes J.
5. Scott-Grayson T.	5. Schakel J.
Substitutes
4. Luykx S.	4. Buysse S.
2. Maconda D.	15. Fiedler M.
10. Schaftenaar R. (C)	11. Melson S.
12. Sicking J.	7. Pieters D.
9. van den Elzen S.	17. Sylla M.
11. Van Zeil L.	3. Van de Keere M.
Coaches
. Spradley R. D.	. Dedas G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiden won 1.

Leiden is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Oostende has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leiden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Leiden won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1128:1174. (average 75.2:78.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiden won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 535:541. (average 76.4:77.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
BNXT League
08.11.25	Leiden - Donar Groningen	101:72 ✺
01.11.25	Okapi Aalstar - Leiden	108:83 ✺
25.10.25	Den Helder Suns - Leiden	68:84 ✺
18.10.25	Leiden - LWD Basket	108:89 ✺
12.10.25	Spirou Charleroi - Leiden	60:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW
- BC Oostende
Champions League Basketball
11.11.25	Karditsas - Oostende	82:78 ✺
BNXT League
07.11.25	Oostende - Den Helder Suns	101:91 ✺
01.11.25	Oostende - BAL Weert	88:64 ✺
Champions League Basketball
29.10.25	Unicaja Malaga - Oostende	102:80 ✺
BNXT League
23.10.25	Brussels - Oostende	81:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

BNXT League
15.03.25	Leiden - Oostende	87:74
14.12.24	Oostende - Leiden	91:83
12.06.24	Leiden - Oostende	66:79
10.06.24	Oostende - Leiden	85:58
Dutch DBL
01.05.24	Leiden - Oostende	68:86
16.03.24	Oostende - Leiden	75:68
BNXT League
13.06.23	Oostende - Leiden	80:91

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