Match Info

BNXT League - Round 6

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Okapi Forum (Aalst)


	Okapi Aalstar		Leiden

	1	2
			Watch
	2.38	1.49	Watch
	1.89	1.73	Watch
	2.69	1.41
	2.54	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.89)	1.51 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Okapi Aalstar
38.9%

Leiden
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Okapi Aalstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Okapi Aalstar's form might have worsened.

Leiden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leiden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okapi Aalstar than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Okapi Aalstar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leiden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Okapi Aalstar - Leiden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Colbert E.	13. Huurman S.
10. Ledegen S.	17. Kruithof L.
3. Maras I. (C)	0. Mc Collum J.
6. Temmerman G.	28. Roberts N.
9. Van den Eynde N.	5. Scott-Grayson T.
Substitutes
5. De Boeck J.	4. Luykx S.
12. Jerimiah T.	2. Maconda D.
21. Maddox D.	10. Schaftenaar R. (C)
11. Massey O.	12. Sicking J.
15. Palinckx M.	9. van den Elzen S.
4. Unal J.
7. Van Heule A.
Coaches
. Foucart O.	. Spradley R. D.

Preview

Recent performances by Okapi Aalstar have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leiden is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Leiden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leiden is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Leiden will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Okapi Aalstar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 232:223. (average 77.3:74.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Okapi Aalstar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 165:144. (average 82.5:72).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Okapi Aalstar
BNXT League
25.10.25	Okapi Aalstar - Landstede	81:95 ✺
22.10.25	LWD Basket - Okapi Aalstar	94:105 ✺
18.10.25	Donar Groningen - Okapi Aalstar	85:78 ✺
11.10.25	Den Helder Suns - Okapi Aalstar	83:85 ✺
04.10.25	Okapi Aalstar - Kortrijk Spurs	93:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW
- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
BNXT League
25.10.25	Den Helder Suns - Leiden	68:84 ✺
18.10.25	Leiden - LWD Basket	108:89 ✺
12.10.25	Spirou Charleroi - Leiden	60:87 ✺
04.10.25	Leiden - Rotterdam City	111:68 ✺
27.09.25	BAL Weert - Leiden	64:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

BNXT League
07.02.25	Okapi Aalstar - Leiden	80:71
12.10.24	Leiden - Okapi Aalstar	79:67
Club Friendly Basketball
17.09.22	Okapi Aalstar - Leiden	85:73

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