Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 36

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: PalaSojourner (Rieti) 🌤️ ...


	Rieti		Basket Pesaro

	1	2
	1.56	2.3
	1.58	2.15
	1.66	2.24
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 (1.59)	2.24 (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rieti
58.5%

Basket Pesaro
41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Rieti have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Basket Pesaro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rieti than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Rieti - Basket Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bogliardi M.	21. Bucarelli L.
22. Hogue D.	22. Miniotas R.
29. Mian F.	15. Tambone M.
13. Piccin L.	1. Trucchetti S.
27. Udom L.	18. Virginio N.
Substitutes
3. Bellini M.	5. Bertini A.
30. Cicchetti M.	25. Fainke E.
8. Guariglia T.	2. Johnson J.
5. Palumbo M.	7. Maretto O.
7. Pascolo D.	8. Sakine E. Y.
11. Perry D.
2. Piunti G.

Preview

In recent matches, Rieti has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pesaro is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rieti might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rieti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 322:330. (average 80.5:82.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rieti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 86:80.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Pesaro	6	5	1	499:459	10
7	Sebastiani Rieti	6	4	2	452:459	8

Last Results with these Odds

Rieti - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.49%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NPC Rieti
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
08.04.26	Libertas Livorno - Rieti	80:72 ✺
04.04.26	Rieti - Scafati	76:81 ✺
29.03.26	Ruvo di Puglia - Rieti	75:84 ✺
25.03.26	Rieti - Juvi Cremona	80:53 ✺
21.03.26	Brindisi - Rieti	90:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL
- Basket Pesaro
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
08.04.26	Basket Torino - Basket Pesaro	77:81 ✺
03.04.26	Basket Pesaro - Verona	84:83 ✺
29.03.26	Pistoia Basket - Basket Pesaro	89:91 ✺
25.03.26	Basket Pesaro - Fortitudo Bologna	84:86 ✺
21.03.26	Mestre - Basket Pesaro	75:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
21.12.25	Basket Pesaro - Rieti	91:73
09.03.25	Basket Pesaro - Rieti	78:85
12.10.24	Rieti - Basket Pesaro	86:80
Club Friendly Basketball
04.10.19	Basket Pesaro - Rieti	81:78

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