Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 23

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Modigliani Forum (Livorno) 🌤️ ...


	Libertas Livorno		Scafati

	1	2
	1.56	2.3
	1.62	2.1
	1.63	2.05
	1.66	2.05	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.63)	2.16 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertas Livorno
57.3%

Scafati
42.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertas Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Scafati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertas Livorno than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scafati than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Libertas Livorno - Scafati Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Penna L.	25. Allen T.
14. Piccoli M.	7. Iannuzzi A.
33. Possamai L.	33. Mascolo B.
5. Tiby M.	18. Mollura M.
1. Woodson A.	5. Walker C.
Substitutes
8. Fantoni T.	40. Bartoli S.
12. Filloy A.	77. Caroti L.
75. Filoni N.	6. Chiera A.
3. Genti N.	31. Italiano N.
9. Gubinelli N.	55. Pullazi R.
11. Tozzi L.
7. Valentini F.

Preview

Libertas Livorno has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Scafati is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Libertas Livorno might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Scafati will win today's game, with odds of 2.15.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Libertas Livorno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 82:92.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Libertas Livorno	6	6	0	490:402	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertas Livorno
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
18.01.26	Libertas Livorno - Roseto Sharks	92:77 ✺
10.01.26	Blu Basket Bergamo - Libertas Livorno	68:76 ✺
04.01.26	Libertas Livorno - Avellino Basket	82:77 ✺
28.12.25	Ruvo di Puglia - Libertas Livorno	89:83 ✺
19.12.25	Libertas Livorno - Mestre	75:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLL
- Scafati Basket
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
18.01.26	Scafati - Ruvo di Puglia	109:80 ✺
10.01.26	Urania Milano - Scafati	72:79 ✺
04.01.26	Scafati - Blu Basket Bergamo	78:59 ✺
28.12.25	Avellino Basket - Scafati	72:80 ✺
21.12.25	Scafati - Juvi Cremona	81:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
26.10.25	Scafati - Libertas Livorno	92:82

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