Match Info

EUROPE: BNXT League - Winners stage

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Location: Country Hall (Liège)


	Liege		Leiden

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.9	1.76
	1.66	2.23
	1.67	2.23
	1.62	2.2
	1.64	2.17
	1.48	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.99)	2.14 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liege
56.1%

Leiden
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liege has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liege's performance.

Leiden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leiden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liege than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liege that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leiden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Liege - Leiden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:77

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Lineups


3. Anosike E.	3. Aajion J.
9. Bogaerts B.	11. Bos D.
15. Bojovic M.	2. Bouwknecht M.
25. Cambo A.	22. Gardner B.
4. Hagins J.	45. Gross A.
8. Kouassi J.	17. Kruithof L.
0. Malu J.	12. Sicking J.
17. Noterman M.	13. van Bree L.
13. Rodriguez A.	8. Van der Schalie L.
89. Troisfontaines O.	5. Ververs M. (C)
24. Tumba K. (C)
Coaches
. Zampier A.	. Spradley R. D.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Liege will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Liege won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 78-84.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liege BC
Dutch DBL
19.04.24	Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch - Liege	72:88 ✺
14.04.24	Liege - Donar Groningen	88:70 ✺
ENBL
09.04.24	Liege - Voluntari	79:80 ✺
Dutch DBL
05.04.24	Liege - Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch	80:99 ✺
30.03.24	Leiden - Liege	84:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLL
- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
Dutch DBL
20.04.24	Leiden - Antwerp Giants	52:103 ✺
12.04.24	Limburg United - Leiden	66:75 ✺
06.04.24	Antwerp Giants - Leiden	85:73 ✺
30.03.24	Leiden - Liege	84:78 ✺
23.03.24	Leiden - Limburg United	75:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch DBL
30.03.24	Leiden - Liege	84:78

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