Match Info

BNXT League - Round 15

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportcomplex 1574 (Leiden)


	Leiden		Limburg United

	1	2
	1.88	1.76	Watch
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.85	1.83
	1.86	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.69)	1.81 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiden
49%

Limburg United
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Limburg United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limburg United than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Limburg United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	0%	9.5%

Leiden - Limburg United Predictions

Users Predictions: Leiden will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leiden will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Huurman S.	55. Blackmon J.
17. Kruithof L.	10. Gateretse A.
0. Mc Collum J.	16. Leemans W. (C)
28. Roberts N.	21. Vanderhaegen T.
5. Scott-Grayson T.	3. Ververs M.
Substitutes
4. Luykx S.	7. Baumann N.
2. Maconda D.	6. Brathwaite O.
1. Savior M.	11. Goossens D.
10. Schaftenaar R. (C)	33. Muszynski N.
12. Sicking J.	5. Serron Q.
9. van den Elzen S.	25. Timberlake N.
11. Van Zeil L.
Coaches
. Spradley R. D.	. Westphalen R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiden won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Limburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leiden won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 505:490. (average 72.1:70).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiden won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 200:202. (average 66.7:67.3).

Outrights of BNXT League for now

Limburg: 11.15% Leiden: 2.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
7	Leiden	1	1	0	76:71	1.000
9	Limburg	2	1	1	201:182	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
Dutch DBL Cup
04.01.26	Landstede - Leiden	101:67 ✺
BNXT League
27.12.25	Leiden - Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch	89:95 ✺
23.12.25	Landstede - Leiden	81:90 ✺
20.12.25	Leiden - Leuven Bears	90:72 ✺
12.12.25	Brussels - Leiden	97:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL
- Limburg United
Belgian Cup Basketball
04.01.26	Kortrijk Spurs - Limburg United	74:79 ✺
BNXT League
26.12.25	Okapi Aalstar - Limburg United	107:98 ✺
23.12.25	Limburg United - LWD Basket	129:78 ✺
19.12.25	Limburg United - Antwerp Giants	86:94 ✺
14.12.25	Limburg United - Spirou Charleroi	96:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

BNXT League
25.04.25	Limburg United - Leiden	74:71
05.10.24	Leiden - Limburg United	66:86
Dutch DBL
12.04.24	Limburg United - Leiden	66:75
23.03.24	Leiden - Limburg United	75:61
BNXT League
15.04.23	Leiden - Limburg United	59:55
24.03.23	Limburg United - Leiden	70:73
Club Friendly Basketball
23.09.14	Limburg United - Leiden	78:86

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