Match Info

WORLD: WORLD CUP - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 5 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Mall of Asia Arena (Pasay)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	ERT, Nova Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Lithuania		Serbia

	1	2
	1.87	1.95	Watch
	1.85	1.95
	1.93	1.93
	1.8	2.06
	1.92	2.07
	1.85	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.94)	1.99 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lithuania
51.5%

Serbia
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Serbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lithuania than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serbia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	0%	16%

Lithuania - Serbia Predictions

Users Predictions: Lithuania will win (63 of 75 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:86

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Preview

Lithuania in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Serbia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lithuania won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 282-294.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lithuania basketball
World Championship Basketball
03.09.23	USA - Lithuania	104:110 ✺
01.09.23	Lithuania - Greece	92:67 ✺
29.08.23	Montenegro - Lithuania	71:91 ✺
27.08.23	Lithuania - Mexico	96:66 ✺
25.08.23	Egypt - Lithuania	67:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 WWWWW
- Serbia basketball
World Championship Basketball
03.09.23	Dominican Republic - Serbia	79:112 ✺
01.09.23	Serbia - Italy	76:78 ✺
30.08.23	South Sudan - Serbia	83:115 ✺
28.08.23	Puerto Rico - Serbia	77:94 ✺
26.08.23	Serbia - China	105:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Basketball
12.08.19	Lithuania - Serbia	91:95
10.08.19	Serbia - Lithuania	72:68
EuroBasket
18.09.15	Serbia - Lithuania	64:67
04.09.13	Serbia - Lithuania	63:56

Lithuania - Serbia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide