Match Info

NBL1 North Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Logan Thunder		Mackay Meteorettes

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.40
	1.44	2.40
	1.42	2.68
	1.34	2.94	Watch
	1.40	2.65
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.46	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.33)	2.56 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Logan Thunder
64.1%

Mackay Meteorettes
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Logan Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Mackay Meteorettes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Logan Thunder than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackay Meteorettes than the current prediction. (+1%)

Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteorettes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Logan won 4.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Logan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Logan is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Logan won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 500:391. (average 83.3:65.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Logan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 252:217. (average 84:72.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Logan Thunder Women
Australian NBL1 North Women
18.07.26	Logan Thunder - Ipswich Force	95:75 ✺
11.07.26	Townsville Flames - Logan Thunder	91:84 ✺
10.07.26	Cairns Dolphins - Logan Thunder	83:91 ✺
04.07.26	Logan Thunder - Northside Wizards	93:80 ✺
03.07.26	South West Metro Pirates - Logan Thunder	73:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW
- Mackay Meteorettes Women
Australian NBL1 North Women
25.07.26	Mackay Meteorettes - Northside Wizards	94:87 ✺
18.07.26	Gold Coast Rollers - Mackay Meteorettes	69:84 ✺
18.07.26	South West Metro Pirates - Mackay Meteorettes	64:88 ✺
11.07.26	Mackay Meteorettes - Sunshine Coast Phoenix	88:59 ✺
03.07.26	Mackay Meteorettes - Townsville Flames	78:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 North Women
01.05.26	Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteorettes	78:93
11.07.25	Mackay Meteorettes - Logan Thunder	66:87
08.06.24	Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteorettes	81:71
03.06.23	Mackay Meteorettes - Logan Thunder	61:69
28.05.22	Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteorettes	93:53
17.07.21	Mackay Meteorettes - Logan Thunder	47:92

Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteorettes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide