Match Info

Bulgarian Cup - Final

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Botevgrad (Botevgrad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1


	Lokomotiv Plovdiv		Cherno More Port Varna

	1	2
	2.65	1.43
	2	1.63
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.45	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.99)	1.52 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
39.1%

Cherno More Port Varna
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Plovdiv's form might have worsened.

Cherno More Port Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cherno More Port Varna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Plovdiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Port Varna than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cherno More Port Varna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Port Varna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Cherno More (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cherno More Port Varna will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cherno More Port Varna will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Cherno More (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Anderson S.	24. Boyanov G.
33. Mihov K.	0. Gaffney A.
14. Miller K.	8. Stoyanov N.
9. Minkov T.	3. Watson-Gayle J.
0. Ramsey D.	5. West L.
Substitutes
6. Durev P.	15. Chernokozhev T.
13. Gluhchev R.	6. Hadjirusev E.
7. Iliev I.	21. Karacic I.
16. Kenderov G.	13. Marinov M.
21. Kikrilis I.	1. Moldov M.
99. Krastanov K.	35. Petkov V.
5. Singleton G.

Preview

Lokomotiv Plovdiv is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cherno More is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Cherno More may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 168:193. (average 84:96.5).

Including home match between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 77:86.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Plovdiv Basketball
Bulgarian Cup Basketball
21.02.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Rilski Sportist	100:99 OT ✺
19.02.26	Beroe - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	101:117 ✺
Bulgarian NBL
15.02.26	Spartak Pleven - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	79:84 ✺
07.02.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Levski Sofia	115:80 ✺
02.02.26	Botev Academic - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	90:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL
- BC Cherno More Port Varna
Bulgarian Cup Basketball
21.02.26	Cherno More Port Varna - Balkan Botevgrad	77:76 ✺
20.02.26	Minyor - Cherno More Port Varna	91:105 ✺
Bulgarian NBL
08.02.26	Beroe - Cherno More Port Varna	84:86 ✺
01.02.26	Minyor - Cherno More Port Varna	72:91 ✺
26.01.26	Cherno More Port Varna - Balkan Botevgrad	93:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian NBL
20.12.25	Cherno More Port Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	107:91
06.10.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Port Varna	77:86

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