Match Info

NBL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Plovdiv)

Referee: Kamburov M. (Bul)


	Lokomotiv Plovdiv		Rilski Sportist

	1	2
	1.72	1.95
	2	1.67
	2.07	1.7
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	2	1.7
	2.06	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.52)	1.74 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
46.8%

Rilski Sportist
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Plovdiv's performance.

Rilski Sportist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rilski Sportist might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rilski Sportist than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Rilski Sportist Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Anderson S.	0. Arnett A.
33. Mihov K.	3. Davis J.
14. Miller K.	7. Edwards M.
9. Minkov T.	77. Petrov K.
0. Ramsey D.	23. Vasov M.
Substitutes
13. Gluhchev R.	35. Bachkov H.
7. Iliev I.	32. Belishki V.
16. Kenderov G. (C)	11. Dimitrov I.
21. Kikrilis I.	12. Georgiev A.
99. Krastanov K.	19. Hristov D. D.
15. Lilov M.	1. Karamfilov D.
5. Singleton G.	8. Kostov C. (C)
Coaches
. Nikolov A.	. Kirov L.

Preview

Rilski Sportist leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 2.

Recent performances by Lokomotiv Plovdiv have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rilski Sportist is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 595:630. (average 85:90).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 271:272. (average 90.3:90.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Rilski Sportist	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	Lok. Plovdiv	0	0	0	0:0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Plovdiv Basketball
Bulgarian NBL
15.05.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Rilski Sportist	99:89 ✺
12.05.26	Rilski Sportist - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	97:75 ✺
10.05.26	Rilski Sportist - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	87:79 ✺
02.05.26	Botev 2012 - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	67:86 ✺
30.04.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev 2012	79:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWW
- Rilski Sportist
Bulgarian NBL
15.05.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Rilski Sportist	99:89 ✺
12.05.26	Rilski Sportist - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	97:75 ✺
10.05.26	Rilski Sportist - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	87:79 ✺
02.05.26	Beroe - Rilski Sportist	80:90 ✺
30.04.26	Rilski Sportist - Beroe	89:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian NBL
15.05.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Rilski Sportist	99:89
12.05.26	Rilski Sportist - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	97:75
10.05.26	Rilski Sportist - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	87:79
05.04.26	Rilski Sportist - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	100:92
Bulgarian Cup Basketball
21.02.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Rilski Sportist	100:99 OT
Bulgarian NBL
25.01.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Rilski Sportist	72:84
15.11.25	Rilski Sportist - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	74:78

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