Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Longwood Lancers		USC Upstate Spartans

	1	2
	1.35	3.1
	1.37	2.9
	1.37	3.1
	1.37	2.76	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.37	2.99
	1.36	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)	3.03 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 143.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Longwood Lancers
68.9%

USC Upstate Spartans
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Longwood Lancers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

USC Upstate Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Longwood Lancers than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Longwood Lancers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USC Upstate Spartans than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USC Upstate Spartans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Longwood Lancers - USC Upstate Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:69

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Longwood won 2.

Longwood is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

USC Upstate has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

USC Upstate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Longwood is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Longwood won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1059:1032. (average 70.6:68.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Longwood won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 519:482. (average 74.1:68.9).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Longwood: 0.22% USC Upstate: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Longwood Lancers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
12.02.26	Longwood Lancers - UNC-Asheville Bulldogs	74:79 ✺
07.02.26	Winthrop Eagles - Longwood Lancers	79:74 ✺
04.02.26	Gardner-Webb Runnin` Bulldogs - Longwood Lancers	66:86 ✺
31.01.26	Longwood Lancers - High Point Panthers	59:71 ✺
29.01.26	USC Upstate Spartans - Longwood Lancers	65:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- USC Upstate Spartans basketball
NCAA College Basketball
12.02.26	USC Upstate Spartans - High Point Panthers	70:95 ✺
07.02.26	USC Upstate Spartans - Charleston Southern Buccaneers	100:94 OT ✺
04.02.26	UNC-Asheville Bulldogs - USC Upstate Spartans	76:67 ✺
29.01.26	USC Upstate Spartans - Longwood Lancers	65:60 ✺
23.01.26	Gardner-Webb Runnin` Bulldogs - USC Upstate Spartans	67:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
29.01.26	USC Upstate Spartans - Longwood Lancers	65:60
01.03.25	USC Upstate Spartans - Longwood Lancers	66:83
25.01.25	Longwood Lancers - USC Upstate Spartans	80:54
07.02.24	Longwood Lancers - USC Upstate Spartans	64:69
17.01.24	USC Upstate Spartans - Longwood Lancers	73:71
15.02.23	USC Upstate Spartans - Longwood Lancers	72:67
14.01.23	Longwood Lancers - USC Upstate Spartans	72:65

Longwood Lancers - USC Upstate Spartans