Match Info

BBL - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Ludwigsburg (Ludwigsburg)


	Ludwigsburg		ALBA Berlin

	1	2
	2.3	1.54	Watch
	2.4	1.52	Watch
	2.54	1.54
	2.39	1.55	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.54	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.17)	1.54 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludwigsburg
38.7%

ALBA Berlin
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludwigsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ALBA Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludwigsburg than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ALBA Berlin than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Ludwigsburg - ALBA Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: Ludwigsburg will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ludwigsburg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Hughes E.	17. Agbakoko N.
32. Kellman K.	5. Griesel S.
5. Skuja T.	15. Hermannsson M.
3. Smith S.	9. Mattisseck J.
24. Tischler B.	11. Wood M.
Substitutes
12. Anigbata L.	34. Bean J.
37. Baumer J.	22. Bennefeld N.
8. Harris T.	6. Delow M.
13. Polas Bartolo Y.	33. Hundt B.
0. Sane B.	7. Kayil J.
34. Schilling G.	3. O'Connell A.
18. Wohlfarth-Bottermann J.	13. Roberts J.
Coaches
. Riipinen M.	. Calles P.

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ BBL (Play~in: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ BBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ludwigsburg won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ludwigsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

ALBA will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Ludwigsburg will win today's game, with odds of 2.27.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ludwigsburg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1531:1632. (average 76.6:81.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ludwigsburg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 680:679. (average 75.6:75.4).

Outrights of German BBL for now

Alba Berlin: 14.82% Ludwigsburg: 0.9%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	Alba Berlin	4	2	2	327:358	4
9	Ludwigsburg	4	2	2	341:354	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BG Ludwigsburg
German BBL
06.04.26	Trier - Ludwigsburg	92:76 ✺
01.04.26	Ludwigsburg - Niners Chemnitz	87:79 ✺
27.03.26	Baskets Bonn - Ludwigsburg	79:81 ✺
20.03.26	Ludwigsburg - Skyliners Frankfurt	97:65 ✺
14.03.26	Rasta Vechta - Ludwigsburg	121:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWL
- ALBA Berlin
Champions League Basketball
08.04.26	ALBA Berlin - Unicaja Malaga	85:88 OT ✺
German BBL
05.04.26	ALBA Berlin - EWE Baskets Oldenburg	79:81 ✺
Champions League Basketball
01.04.26	Unicaja Malaga - ALBA Berlin	72:69 ✺
German BBL
29.03.26	Lowen Braunschweig - ALBA Berlin	73:94 ✺
20.03.26	ALBA Berlin - Rostock Seawolves	89:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German BBL
29.12.25	ALBA Berlin - Ludwigsburg	80:47
13.04.25	Ludwigsburg - ALBA Berlin	63:79
01.12.24	ALBA Berlin - Ludwigsburg	60:74
07.04.24	ALBA Berlin - Ludwigsburg	100:91
26.11.23	Ludwigsburg - ALBA Berlin	87:79
19.03.23	Ludwigsburg - ALBA Berlin	77:83
20.11.22	ALBA Berlin - Ludwigsburg	99:91

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