Match Info

BBL - Round 23

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Ludwigsburg (Ludwigsburg)


	Ludwigsburg		BCJ Hamburg

	1	2
	1.72	1.96	Watch
	1.8	1.98	Watch
	1.95	1.88
	1.83	1.93	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.87	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.38)	1.95 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludwigsburg
51.7%

BCJ Hamburg
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludwigsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludwigsburg's form might have worsened.

BCJ Hamburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BCJ Hamburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludwigsburg than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludwigsburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BCJ Hamburg than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BCJ Hamburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Ludwigsburg - BCJ Hamburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ludwigsburg will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hamburg will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Tischler B.	25. Ogbe K.
0. Sane B.	17. Wimberg N.
34. Schilling G.	44. Turudic B.
2. Buchanan T.	3. Rich O.
3. Smith S.	34. Williams R.
Substitutes
12. Anigbata L.	13. Breunig M.
37. Baumer J.	21. Daniels D.
39. Dongmo M.	27. Gamble Jr. K.
40. Feneberg S.	8. Grey J.
7. Hughes E.	5. Maronka Z.
	2. Thorpe L. J.
Coaches
. Riipinen M.	. Barloschky B.

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ BBL (Play~in: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ludwigsburg won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Hamburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ludwigsburg might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ludwigsburg won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1300:1206. (average 86.7:80.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ludwigsburg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 630:570. (average 90:81.4).

Outrights of German BBL for now

Ludwigsburg: 1.07%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
13	Ludwigsburg	4	2	2	341:354	4
15	Hamburg	4	1	3	324:352	2

Last Results with these Odds

BCJ Hamburg - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.25%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BG Ludwigsburg
German BBL
06.03.26	Ratiopharm Ulm - Ludwigsburg	93:76 ✺
19.02.26	Ludwigsburg - Mitteldeutscher	86:82 ✺
14.02.26	EWE Baskets Oldenburg - Ludwigsburg	102:88 ✺
07.02.26	Ludwigsburg - Brose Bamberg	74:86 ✺
31.01.26	Science City Jena - Ludwigsburg	75:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW
- BCJ Hamburg
German BBL
17.02.26	ALBA Berlin - BCJ Hamburg	87:93 ✺
14.02.26	Baskets Bonn - BCJ Hamburg	92:85 ✺
Eurocup
11.02.26	BCJ Hamburg - Basquet Manresa	94:116 ✺
German BBL
08.02.26	BCJ Hamburg - Lowen Braunschweig	95:85 ✺
Eurocup
05.02.26	BCJ Hamburg - Cedevita Olimpija	74:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German BBL
22.11.25	BCJ Hamburg - Ludwigsburg	84:88
26.04.25	Ludwigsburg - BCJ Hamburg	89:78
21.12.24	BCJ Hamburg - Ludwigsburg	66:73
16.05.24	Ludwigsburg - BCJ Hamburg	91:78
20.04.24	BCJ Hamburg - Ludwigsburg	89:84
29.09.23	Ludwigsburg - BCJ Hamburg	79:87
11.03.23	BCJ Hamburg - Ludwigsburg	77:83

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