Match Info

NBL1 North

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Mackay Meteors		Townsville Heat

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.30
	1.28	3.30
	1.18	4.14
	1.3	3.17	Watch
	1.16	4.05
	1.21	3.96	Watch
	1.21	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.36)	3.65 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 194.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackay Meteors
74.8%

Townsville Heat
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackay Meteors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mackay Meteors's performance.

Townsville Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Townsville Heat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackay Meteors than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mackay Meteors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Townsville Heat than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Townsville Heat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mackay Meteors - Townsville Heat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 102:93

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mackay won 5.

Mackay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Townsville is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mackay is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mackay won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 933:839. (average 93.3:83.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mackay won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 364:327. (average 91:81.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackay Meteors
Australian NBL1 North
27.06.26	Rockhampton Rockets - Mackay Meteors	99:118 ✺
Australian NBL1 North Women
20.06.26	Mackay Meteors - Cairns Marlins	91:111 ✺
Australian NBL1 North
12.06.26	Mackay Meteors - North Gold Coast Seahawks	99:84 ✺
29.05.26	Mackay Meteors - Northside Wizards	114:92 ✺
23.05.26	Cairns Marlins - Mackay Meteors	110:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL
- Townsville Heat
Australian NBL1 North
27.06.26	Townsville Heat - Ipswich Force	92:129 ✺
Australian NBL1 North Women
19.06.26	Townsville Heat - Cairns Marlins	86:96 ✺
Australian NBL1 North
13.06.26	Townsville Heat - North Gold Coast Seahawks	87:90 ✺
07.06.26	Southern Districts Spartans - Townsville Heat	117:101 ✺
06.06.26	Brisbane Capitals - Townsville Heat	92:110 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 North
22.05.26	Townsville Heat - Mackay Meteors	89:92
04.07.25	Townsville Heat - Mackay Meteors	92:98
10.05.25	Mackay Meteors - Townsville Heat	102:100
11.05.24	Townsville Heat - Mackay Meteors	87:102
12.04.24	Mackay Meteors - Townsville Heat	98:89
17.06.23	Townsville Heat - Mackay Meteors	83:94
31.03.23	Mackay Meteors - Townsville Heat	82:64

Mackay Meteors - Townsville Heat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide