Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 4

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Marius Ndiaye arena (Dakar) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	17:00	DAZN
Finland	18:00	DAZN
Sweden	17:00	DAZN


	Madagascar		D.R. Congo

	1	2
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.20	1.62
	2.16	1.65	Watch
	2.21	1.61
	2.09	1.68	Watch
	2.18	1.59
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.18	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.93)	1.64 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Madagascar
43%

D.R. Congo
57%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madagascar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madagascar's performance.

D.R. Congo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and D.R. Congo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Madagascar - D.R. Congo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Madagascar will win (votes: 3 - 60%). D.R. Congo will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:79

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. M‘Madi M. Moron	1. Jordan J. Al Ahly
6. Rabibisoa J.	34. Kande G. Estela
22. Raharimanantoanina S. Pau-Orthez	23. Munanga S. Antibes
1. Randriamampionona E. GNBC	11. Nyembo F.
7. Razanamahenina K.	13. Thamba F. Metros de Santiago
Substitutes
11. Andriatsarafara L.	7. Banza J. L.
23. Heritiana F.	0. Cuma T. N. Lyon-Villeurbanne
2. Rakotonanahary L.	10. Elande S.
30. Rakotovao M.	15. Fula R. Espoir Fukash
15. Rasolomanana A. GNBC	5. Kapongo D. Espoir Fukash
21. Rasolonjatovo A. Avignon Le Pontet	18. Monga J.
12. Solondrainy A. GNBC	33. Tsienda E.
Coaches
. Pivaud M.	. Perrin M.

Preview

D.R. Congo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Madagascar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 79:87.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madagascar basketball
World Championship Basketball
01.03.26	Madagascar - Ivory Coast	74:99 ✺
28.02.26	Madagascar - Senegal	66:99 ✺
26.02.26	D.R. Congo - Madagascar	87:79 ✺
AfroBasket
17.08.25	Tunisia - Madagascar	81:60 ✺
15.08.25	Cameroon - Madagascar	80:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- D.R. Congo basketball
World Championship Basketball
01.03.26	Senegal - D.R. Congo	75:56 ✺
28.02.26	Ivory Coast - D.R. Congo	96:59 ✺
26.02.26	D.R. Congo - Madagascar	87:79 ✺
AfroBasket
19.08.25	Cameroon - D.R. Congo	77:68 ✺
17.08.25	Ivory Coast - D.R. Congo	75:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
26.02.26	D.R. Congo - Madagascar	87:79

Madagascar - D.R. Congo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide