Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 2

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Marius Ndiaye arena (Dakar) 🌤️ ...


	Madagascar		Senegal

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Madagascar
7.3%

Senegal
92.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.5%

85.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madagascar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Madagascar's form might have worsened.

Senegal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Senegal's recent form is better than expected.

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Senegal will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:91

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Starting Lineups
24. Faralahy M.	5. Boissy J. Al Ahli Tripoli
22. Raharimanantoanina S. Pau-Orthez	29. Camara G. Rimini
30. Rakotovao M.	77. Diop P. M. Fougeres
15. Rasolomanana A. GNBC	7. Fall-Faye I. Shanxi Zhongyu
6. Ratianarivo L. COSPN	81. Sene K. BAL Weert
Substitutes
4. M‘Madi M. Moron	0. Badio B. Valencia
1. Randriamampionona E. GNBC	16. Badji I. Charlotte Hornets
77. Randriamananjara J.	55. Bandaogo A. Buyukcekmece
10. Rasolonandrianina H.	2. Diallo B.
21. Rasolonjatovo A. Avignon Le Pontet	45. Mane K. Rouen
7. Razanamahenina K.	1. Ndiaye O. Cremona
12. Solondrainy A. GNBC	4. Sane B. Ludwigsburg
Coaches
. Douaglin J.	. Diop D.

In this match, Senegal is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madagascar basketball
World Championship Basketball
26.02.26	D.R. Congo - Madagascar	87:79 ✺
AfroBasket
17.08.25	Tunisia - Madagascar	81:60 ✺
15.08.25	Cameroon - Madagascar	80:77 ✺
13.08.25	Madagascar - Nigeria	59:77 ✺
23.02.25	Madagascar - Central Africa	75:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Senegal basketball
World Championship Basketball
26.02.26	Senegal - Ivory Coast	80:90 ✺
AfroBasket
24.08.25	Cameroon - Senegal	72:98 ✺
23.08.25	Mali - Senegal	87:80 ✺
20.08.25	Nigeria - Senegal	75:91 ✺
18.08.25	Senegal - South Sudan	78:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWW

Madagascar - Senegal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide