Match Info

PORTUGAL: Proliga - Winners stage - Round 5

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Clube Amigos do Basquete (Funchal)


	Madeira		Alianca Sangalhos

	1	2
	1.12	4.9
	1.11	4.42
			Watch
	1.18	4.47
	1.12	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.32)	4.67 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madeira
80.5%

Alianca Sangalhos
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madeira's performance.

Alianca Sangalhos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianca Sangalhos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madeira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianca Sangalhos than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianca Sangalhos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Madeira - Alianca Sangalhos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:69

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Butler Korte J.	24. Agu O.
4. Ferreira B.	8. Madureira G.
10. Moreira A.	34. Manhanga D.
3. Porter M.	21. Semedo H.
1. Savarino M.	11. Woods J.
Substitutes
6. Afonso Goncalves	15. Alves S.
11. Dias T.	2. Banaru V.
00. Fernandes J. (C)	0. Rodrigues D.
34. Jesus S.	18. Santiago F.
28. Leite L.	5. Seabra L. (C)
33. Oliveira J.
21. Pimenta L.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Madeira won 3.

Recent matches Madeira is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sangalhos has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Madeira have a series of guest games.

Madeira will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Madeira to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Madeira won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 479:423 (average 79.8:70.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Madeira won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 253:203 (average 84.3:67.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CAB Madeira
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
15.02.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Madeira	82:83 ✺
08.02.25	Madeira - CB Queluz	74:83 ✺
01.02.25	Imortal B - Madeira	66:92 ✺
25.01.25	Braga - Madeira	93:58 ✺
11.01.25	Lusitânia - Madeira	66:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLW
- Alianca Sangalhos
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
15.02.25	Alianca Sangalhos - CB Queluz	81:86 ✺
08.02.25	Braga - Alianca Sangalhos	72:70 OT ✺
01.02.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Portimonense	67:84 ✺
25.01.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Alianca Sangalhos	73:69 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
18.01.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Oliveirense	71:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
30.03.24	Alianca Sangalhos - Madeira	69:72
02.03.24	Madeira - Alianca Sangalhos	73:77
Portuguese LPB
15.04.23	Madeira - Alianca Sangalhos	99:60
18.03.23	Alianca Sangalhos - Madeira	69:73
22.12.22	Alianca Sangalhos - Madeira	82:81
05.10.22	Madeira - Alianca Sangalhos	81:66

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