Match Info

PORTUGAL: LPB - LOSERS STAGE

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Clube Amigos do Basquete (Funchal)


	Madeira		Esgueira

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.48	2.48
	1.45	2.44
	1.48	2.54
	1.5	2.5
	1.47	2.53
	1.46	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)	2.48 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madeira
62.7%

Esgueira
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Esgueira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Madeira - Esgueira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:82

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Madeira won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Madeira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Madeira will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Madeira won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 823-786.

Including matches at home between the teams Madeira won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 435-425.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CAB Madeira
Portuguese LPB
05.03.23	Madeira - Vitória de Guimarães	104:90 ✺
01.03.23	Lusitânia - Madeira	85:81 ✺
15.02.23	Madeira - Sporting Lisbon	84:93 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
11.02.23	Madeira - Lusitânia	69:80 ✺
Portuguese LPB
04.02.23	Esgueira - Madeira	86:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLW
- Esgueira Basket
Portuguese LPB
04.03.23	Esgueira - Alianca Sangalhos	80:75 ✺
18.02.23	Esgueira - Benfica	61:93 ✺
15.02.23	Alianca Sangalhos - Esgueira	79:87 ✺
04.02.23	Esgueira - Madeira	86:87 ✺
27.01.23	Porto - Esgueira	94:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
04.02.23	Esgueira - Madeira	86:87
19.11.22	Madeira - Esgueira	90:93
17.01.21	Madeira - Esgueira	91:97 OT (86:86)
17.10.20	Esgueira - Madeira	65:66
04.01.20	Madeira - Esgueira	88:91
12.10.19	Esgueira - Madeira	82:85
01.05.19	Madeira - Esgueira	90:72

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