Match Info

PORTUGAL: LPB - LOSERS STAGE

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira (Esgueira)


	Esgueira		Madeira

	1	2
	1.7	2
	1.75	1.96
	1.67	2.12
	1.67	2.1
	1.66	2.11
	1.66	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.74)	2.06 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esgueira
55%

Madeira
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esgueira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Madeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (+1%)

Esgueira - Madeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:81

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Esgueira won 2.

Recent matches Esgueira is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Madeira is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Madeira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Esgueira won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 844-889.

Including matches at home between the teams Esgueira won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 361-388.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esgueira Basket
Portuguese LPB
01.04.23	Alianca Sangalhos - Esgueira	81:83 ✺
25.03.23	Esgueira - Vitória de Guimarães	98:88 ✺
22.03.23	Imortal - Esgueira	93:70 ✺
18.03.23	Esgueira - Povoa	83:78 OT ✺
11.03.23	Madeira - Esgueira	66:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL
- CAB Madeira
Portuguese LPB
01.04.23	Vitória de Guimarães - Madeira	106:82 ✺
22.03.23	Povoa - Madeira	74:78 ✺
18.03.23	Alianca Sangalhos - Madeira	69:73 ✺
11.03.23	Madeira - Esgueira	66:58 ✺
05.03.23	Madeira - Vitória de Guimarães	104:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
11.03.23	Madeira - Esgueira	66:58
04.02.23	Esgueira - Madeira	86:87
19.11.22	Madeira - Esgueira	90:93
17.01.21	Madeira - Esgueira	91:97 OT (86:86)
17.10.20	Esgueira - Madeira	65:66
04.01.20	Madeira - Esgueira	88:91
12.10.19	Esgueira - Madeira	82:85

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