Match Info

Proliga - Round 4

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques (São Paio de Gramaços)


	Sampaense		Maia

	1	2
	1.88	1.78
	1.84	1.75
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	1.76	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 (1.84)	1.82 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaense
49.8%

Maia
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sampaense - Maia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Arikawe T.	12. Caetano F.
2. Banaru V.	13. Guerreiro J.
22. Bastos M.	72. Lisboa T.
8. Goncalves D. (C)	4. Magalhaes M. (C)
1. Iyaye A.	10. Tomley M.
Substitutes
12. Abrantes P.	35. Carvalho A.
11. Diop M.	20. Ferreira R.
4. Marques A.	28. Figueiredo T.
25. Quissanga S.	34. Oliveira R.
6. Silva A.	30. Oliveira S.
	47. Pontes I.
	5. Valgode A.
Coaches
. Figueiredo C.	. Rodrigues N.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampaense won 3.

Sampaense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Sampaense will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sampaense won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1057:1054. (average 81.3:81.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sampaense won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 545:488. (average 90.8:81.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaense Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
11.10.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Sampaense	79:84 ✺
04.10.25	Sampaense - Lusitânia	82:74 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
27.09.25	Sampaense - Académica Coimbra	63:48 ✺
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
25.04.25	Clube Galitos - Sampaense	81:77 OT ✺
19.04.25	Sampaense - Lusitânia	84:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLL
- Maia Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
18.10.25	Maia - Académica Coimbra	88:60 ✺
11.10.25	Maia - Povoa	69:91 ✺
04.10.25	Illiabum - Maia	87:81 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
21.09.25	Maia - Povoa	76:78 ✺
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
04.05.25	Barreirense - Maia	72:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
22.03.25	Sampaense - Maia	96:72
01.02.25	Maia - Sampaense	73:79
11.01.25	Sampaense - Maia	97:84
16.11.24	Maia - Sampaense	83:75
04.02.24	Maia - Sampaense	91:68
02.12.23	Sampaense - Maia	77:89
18.12.22	Maia - Sampaense	74:69

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