Match Info

Proliga - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope (Maia)


	Maia		Santo André

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	2.01	1.68	Watch
	2.12	1.6
	2.07	1.7
	2.01	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.78)	1.7 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maia
45.8%

Santo André
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Santo André has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maia than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santo André, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Maia - Santo André Predictions

Users Predictions: Maia will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Boyd R.	4. Free B.
3. Bumbalough L.	8. Horta D.
2. Magalhaes M.	12. Lopes A. (C)
30. Oliveira S.	11. Pereira H.
17. Santana M.	0. Quissanga S.
Substitutes
12. Carrera Y.	24. Araujo S.
4. Gomes D.	18. Fernandes A.
5. Guerreiro J. (C)	21. Fortunato P.
26. Lauback K.	9. Oliveira J.
44. Machado P.	3. Simoes R.
8. Santos T.
9. Silva T.
Coaches
. Gomes R.	. Cruz A.

Preview

Maia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Santo André is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Maia to win the game is with odds 1.8.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Maia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 173:161 (average 86.5:80.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Maia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 84:79

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maia Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
05.04.25	Maia - Benfica B	71:65 ✺
29.03.25	Clube Galitos - Maia	71:77 ✺
22.03.25	Sampaense - Maia	96:72 ✺
16.03.25	Maia - Lusitânia	93:86 ✺
08.03.25	Maia - Barreirense	68:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW
- ABC Santo André
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
05.04.25	Clube Galitos - Santo André	83:79 ✺
30.03.25	Santo André - Lusitânia	70:74 ✺
22.03.25	Casino Ginásio - Santo André	93:95 ✺
15.03.25	Santo André - Benfica B	50:56 ✺
08.03.25	Santo André - Sampaense	82:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
29.03.24	Maia - Santo André	84:79
02.03.24	Santo André - Maia	82:89 OT

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