Match Info

NCAA

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Maine Black Bears		UMBC Retrievers

	1	2
	2.55	1.48
	2.4	1.52
	2.45	1.56
	2.32	1.52	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.5	1.51
	2.5	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.54)	1.52 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 135.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maine Black Bears
38.1%

UMBC Retrievers
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maine Black Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

UMBC Retrievers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maine Black Bears than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UMBC Retrievers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Maine Black Bears - UMBC Retrievers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 67:70

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maine won 3.

Maine has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

UMBC is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

UMBC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

UMBC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Maine won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 954:947. (average 63.6:63.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Maine won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 405:358. (average 67.5:59.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maine Black Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.02.26	Bryant University Bulldogs - Maine Black Bears	73:67 ✺
05.02.26	Maine Black Bears - Vermont Catamounts	76:70 ✺
31.01.26	UMass Lowell River Hawks - Maine Black Bears	91:77 ✺
24.01.26	Maine Black Bears - Binghamton Bearcats	79:63 ✺
22.01.26	Maine Black Bears - Albany Great Danes	52:49 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLWW
- UMBC Retrievers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
05.02.26	UMBC Retrievers - Binghamton Bearcats	79:62 ✺
31.01.26	Albany Great Danes - UMBC Retrievers	46:55 OT ✺
29.01.26	Vermont Catamounts - UMBC Retrievers	64:55 ✺
24.01.26	UMBC Retrievers - UMass Lowell River Hawks	79:56 ✺
22.01.26	UMBC Retrievers - NJIT Highlanders	87:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
08.01.26	UMBC Retrievers - Maine Black Bears	69:62
08.02.25	Maine Black Bears - UMBC Retrievers	73:50
18.01.25	UMBC Retrievers - Maine Black Bears	62:87
22.02.24	Maine Black Bears - UMBC Retrievers	62:56
18.01.24	UMBC Retrievers - Maine Black Bears	70:65
04.02.23	Maine Black Bears - UMBC Retrievers	84:49
14.01.23	UMBC Retrievers - Maine Black Bears	85:77

Maine Black Bears - UMBC Retrievers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide