Match Info

Liga Uruguaya - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Malvin (Montevideo)


	Malvín		Defensor Sporting

	1	2
			Watch
	1.66	1.96
	1.72	2.04
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.67	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.78)	2.01 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malvín
54.3%

Defensor Sporting
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malvín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malvín than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Malvín - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Fernandez S.	43. Colmenares N.
1. Guyton C.	1. Rudd V.
33. Wachsmann K. (C)	77. Soto F. (C)
11. Webster J.	3. Weaver E.
27. Zekovic D.	13. Zubiaurre M.
Substitutes
18. Brun F.	9. Antunes M.
8. Espinosa E.	45. Bianchi M.
30. Martinez N.	11. Cuervo M.
34. Medina O.	27. De Leon F.
14. Rodriguez N.	23. MacMullen M.
13. Romero M.	00. Metzger T.
10. Souberbielle M.	15. Terra F.
Coaches
. Lopez P.	. Brea G.

Preview

Defensor leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 3.

Malvín is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Defensor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1627:1520. (average 81.4:76).

Including home matches between the teams, Malvín won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 888:814. (average 80.7:74).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Malvín
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
09.05.26	Defensor Sporting - Malvín	80:58 ✺
06.05.26	Malvín - Defensor Sporting	90:92 OT ✺
02.05.26	Malvín - Aguada	84:94 OT ✺
28.04.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Malvín	96:68 ✺
14.04.26	Defensor Sporting - Malvín	79:80 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- BC Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
09.05.26	Defensor Sporting - Malvín	80:58 ✺
06.05.26	Malvín - Defensor Sporting	90:92 OT ✺
02.05.26	Nacional - Defensor Sporting	97:73 ✺
28.04.26	Defensor Sporting - Aguada	88:60 ✺
14.04.26	Defensor Sporting - Malvín	79:80 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Liga Basketball
09.05.26	Defensor Sporting - Malvín	80:58
06.05.26	Malvín - Defensor Sporting	90:92 OT
14.04.26	Defensor Sporting - Malvín	79:80 OT
16.03.26	Malvín - Defensor Sporting	85:83
19.01.26	Malvín - Defensor Sporting	85:76
04.11.25	Defensor Sporting - Malvín	76:92
17.03.25	Malvín - Defensor Sporting	71:55

Malvín - Defensor Sporting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide