Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Marist Red Foxes		UMBC Retrievers

	1	2
	1.56	2.5
	1.53	2.55
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.61
	1.52	2.5
	1.5	2.5
	1.58	2.47
	1.53	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.59)	2.52 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marist Red Foxes
62.2%

UMBC Retrievers
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marist Red Foxes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

UMBC Retrievers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marist Red Foxes than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UMBC Retrievers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Marist Red Foxes - UMBC Retrievers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:72

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Preview

Marist is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches UMBC is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UMBC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Marist will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marist won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 65:59

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marist Red Foxes basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.12.24	Stony Brook Seawolves - Marist Red Foxes	66:68 ✺
08.12.24	Manhattan Jaspers - Marist Red Foxes	75:82 ✺
06.12.24	Marist Red Foxes - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	53:50 ✺
30.11.24	Lehigh Mountain Hawks - Marist Red Foxes	74:69 ✺
23.11.24	Marist Red Foxes - New Hampshire Wildcats	54:49 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW
- UMBC Retrievers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.12.24	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets - UMBC Retrievers	91:82 ✺
07.12.24	Towson Tigers - UMBC Retrievers	71:84 ✺
02.12.24	Georgetown Hoyas - UMBC Retrievers	86:62 ✺
27.11.24	UMBC Retrievers - Morgan State Bears	92:69 ✺
25.11.24	UMBC Retrievers - Howard Bison	95:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
11.11.23	UMBC Retrievers - Marist Red Foxes	59:65

Marist Red Foxes - UMBC Retrievers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide