Match Info

NCAA

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Marshall Thundering Herd		South Alabama Jaguars

	1	2
	1.32	3.3
	1.53	2.54
	1.32	3.15
	1.36	3.28
	1.39	2.83	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.3	3.47
	1.32	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.48)	3.17 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marshall Thundering Herd
70%

South Alabama Jaguars
30%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marshall Thundering Herd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marshall Thundering Herd's performance.

South Alabama Jaguars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Alabama Jaguars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marshall Thundering Herd than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marshall Thundering Herd that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Alabama Jaguars than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Alabama Jaguars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Marshall Thundering Herd - South Alabama Jaguars Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Marshall will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). South Alabama will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:73

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Preview

Marshall has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

South Alabama is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Marshall will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marshall won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 167:182. (average 83.5:91).

Including home match between the teams, Marshall won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 85:91.

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

South Alabama: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marshall Thundering Herd basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.02.26	Georgia Southern Eagles - Marshall Thundering Herd	101:87 ✺
11.02.26	Old Dominion Monarchs - Marshall Thundering Herd	79:81 ✺
07.02.26	Marshall Thundering Herd - Miami OH RedHawks	74:90 ✺
04.02.26	Marshall Thundering Herd - Southern Miss Golden Eagles	81:77 ✺
31.01.26	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Marshall Thundering Herd	61:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWW
- South Alabama Jaguars basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.02.26	Arkansas State Red Wolves - South Alabama Jaguars	88:92 OT ✺
12.02.26	Southern Miss Golden Eagles - South Alabama Jaguars	78:84 ✺
07.02.26	South Alabama Jaguars - Buffalo Bulls	81:69 ✺
04.02.26	Appalachian State Mountaineers - South Alabama Jaguars	65:57 ✺
31.01.26	South Alabama Jaguars - Georgia State Panthers	69:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
13.02.25	South Alabama Jaguars - Marshall Thundering Herd	91:82 OT
13.01.24	Marshall Thundering Herd - South Alabama Jaguars	85:91

Marshall Thundering Herd - South Alabama Jaguars