Match Info

Superleague - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Hala sportova Ranko Žeravica (Belgrade)


	Mega Basket		FMP Beograd

	1	2
	1.66	2.13
	1.66	2.06
	1.67	2.1
	1.63	2.15
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.57)	2.14 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mega Basket
56.6%

FMP Beograd
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mega Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

FMP Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mega Basket than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FMP Beograd than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Mega Basket - FMP Beograd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Drezgic S.	88. Barna F.
3. Dulovic A.	8. Grojic P.
8. Kroflic U.	19. Malesevic F.
6. Markovic B.	11. Radosavljevic D.
11. Siby A.	22. Stanojevic A.
Substitutes
0. Hrelja T.	5. Eugene C.
7. Lucic A.	14. Gasic N.
77. Musicki A.	6. Radovanovic M.
17. Nikolic O.	0. Rebraca F.
2. Paunovic L.	2. Scott J.
23. Srzentic O.	89. Skraban B.
1. Vojinovic A.	10. Stefanovic L.
Coaches
. Avdalovic V.	. Nikitovic A.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mega Basket won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, FMP has had a series of home games.

Mega Basket might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Mega Basket will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mega Basket won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1633:1657. (average 81.7:82.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mega Basket won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 814:795. (average 81.4:79.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mega Basket
Adriatic League
26.04.26	Borac Čačak - Mega Basket	89:98 ✺
20.04.26	Mega Basket - KK Split	95:72 ✺
13.04.26	Studentski Centar - Mega Basket	89:85 ✺
06.04.26	Mega Basket - Krka	103:98 OT ✺
Russian Winline Basket Cup
31.03.26	Parma Perm - Mega Basket	92:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWL
- KK FMP Beograd
Adriatic League
25.04.26	FMP Beograd - Ilirija	82:88 ✺
20.04.26	FMP Beograd - Vienna Basket	84:92 ✺
14.04.26	KK Zadar - FMP Beograd	76:65 ✺
06.04.26	FMP Beograd - Spartak Subotica	69:49 ✺
31.03.26	FMP Beograd - KK Zadar	85:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
28.03.26	Mega Basket - FMP Beograd	79:84
15.02.26	FMP Beograd - Mega Basket	102:87
Serbian Superleague Basketball
21.05.25	FMP Beograd - Mega Basket	77:73
18.05.25	Mega Basket - FMP Beograd	81:86
Adriatic League
19.01.25	FMP Beograd - Mega Basket	89:87
29.09.24	Mega Basket - FMP Beograd	83:80
14.01.24	Mega Basket - FMP Beograd	86:72

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