Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Železnik Hall (Belgrade)

Referee: Jovanic B. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	FMP Beograd		KK Zadar

	1	2
	1.73	2
	1.75	2.09
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.73	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.76)	2.05 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FMP Beograd
54.4%

KK Zadar
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FMP Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

KK Zadar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for FMP Beograd aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for KK Zadar aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

FMP Beograd - KK Zadar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. KK Zadar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 162.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 174.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: KK Zadar will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Malesevic F.	8. Buljevic L.
11. Radosavljevic D.	6. Klarica K.
0. Rebraca F.	1. Mihailovic V.
89. Skraban B.	46. Ramljak M.
10. Stefanovic L.	7. Tisma B.
Substitutes
5. Eugene C.	25. Dundovic M.
14. Gasic N.	14. Mazalin L.
8. Grojic P.	20. Mekic A.
6. Radovanovic M.	55. Tkachenko I.
2. Scott J.	99. Torbarina T.
	9. Zganec K.
Coaches
. Nikitovic A.	. Jusup D.

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FMP won 1.

Recent performances by FMP have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

KK Zadar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

FMP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, FMP has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, FMP won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1590:1561. (average 83.7:82.2).

Including home matches between the teams, FMP won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 877:820. (average 87.7:82).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK FMP Beograd
Adriatic League
28.03.26	Mega Basket - FMP Beograd	79:84 ✺
22.03.26	Vienna Basket - FMP Beograd	89:98 ✺
13.03.26	Ilirija - FMP Beograd	106:101 ✺
07.03.26	Spartak Subotica - FMP Beograd	77:73 ✺
Serbian Korac Cup
19.02.26	Partizan Belgrade - FMP Beograd	95:90 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLL
- KK Zadar
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
29.03.26	KK Zadar - Dinamo Zagreb	99:79 ✺
Adriatic League
27.03.26	KK Split - KK Zadar	59:79 ✺
23.03.26	KK Zadar - Studentski Centar	69:62 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
20.03.26	Dubrava - KK Zadar	92:81 ✺
18.03.26	KK Zadar - Kvarner	90:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
21.03.25	KK Zadar - FMP Beograd	99:71
17.11.24	FMP Beograd - KK Zadar	67:83
28.03.24	KK Zadar - FMP Beograd	72:75
15.12.23	FMP Beograd - KK Zadar	77:92
ABA Super Cup
19.09.23	FMP Beograd - KK Zadar	71:77
Adriatic League
17.03.23	FMP Beograd - KK Zadar	112:87
02.12.22	KK Zadar - FMP Beograd	103:97

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