Match Info

NBL1 South Women

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Melbourne Tigers		Knox Raiders

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.7
	2.18	1.53
	2.38	1.53
	2.24	1.56	Watch
	2.34	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.6)	1.56 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Tigers
41.2%

Knox Raiders
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Tigers's performance.

Knox Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Knox Raiders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Tigers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Knox Raiders than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Melbourne Tigers - Knox Raiders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:80

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Tigers won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Melbourne Tigers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Knox is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Tigers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 482:591. (average 68.9:84.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Tigers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 226:253. (average 75.3:84.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Tigers Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
25.04.26	Melbourne Tigers - Kilsyth Cobras	71:66 ✺
25.04.26	Ringwood Hawks - Melbourne Tigers	83:86 ✺
16.04.26	Sandringham Sabres - Melbourne Tigers	102:73 ✺
11.04.26	Melbourne Tigers - Ballarat Miners	77:90 ✺
02.04.26	Waverley Falcons - Melbourne Tigers	75:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLL
- Knox Raiders Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
02.05.26	Knox Raiders - Mount Gambier Pioneers	83:72 ✺
25.04.26	Knox Raiders - Diamond Valley Eagles	77:62 ✺
25.04.26	Sandringham Sabres - Knox Raiders	82:72 ✺
18.04.26	Knox Raiders - Nunawading Spectres	78:55 ✺
12.04.26	Bendigo Braves - Knox Raiders	86:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South Women
14.06.25	Knox Raiders - Melbourne Tigers	68:64
13.04.24	Melbourne Tigers - Knox Raiders	75:93
13.05.23	Melbourne Tigers - Knox Raiders	77:74
30.07.22	Knox Raiders - Melbourne Tigers	94:42
31.07.21	Knox Raiders - Melbourne Tigers	72:78
Australian NBL1 Women
25.05.19	Melbourne Tigers - Knox Raiders	74:86
13.04.19	Knox Raiders - Melbourne Tigers	104:72

Melbourne Tigers - Knox Raiders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide