Match Info

SPAIN: LEB ORO - ROUND 15

Date: 29 December 2023, Friday


	Melilla		Castelló

	1	2
	1.31	3.2
	1.3	3.1
	1.32	2.95	Watch
	1.36	3.2
	1.36	3.23
	1.36	3
	1.26	3.54
	1.34	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.44)	3.15 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
70.4%

Castelló
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melilla's performance.

Castelló has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castelló might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelló than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Melilla - Castelló Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:77

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melilla won 2.

Recent matches Melilla is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castelló has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Melilla will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Melilla to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Melilla won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1340-1323.

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 646-590.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Melilla Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
20.12.23	Valladolid - Melilla	73:76 ✺
15.12.23	Melilla - Estudiantes	80:81 ✺
09.12.23	Ourense - Melilla	59:65 ✺
03.12.23	Melilla - Burgos	79:68 ✺
29.11.23	Estela - Melilla	75:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLWWL
- AB Castelló
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
21.12.23	Burgos - Castelló	80:66 ✺
16.12.23	Castelló - Gipuzkoa Basket	80:90 ✺
08.12.23	Castelló - Real Betis	88:100 ✺
02.12.23	Valladolid - Castelló	89:71 ✺
29.11.23	Castelló - Estudiantes	68:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
21.04.23	Castelló - Melilla	105:78
20.12.22	Melilla - Castelló	101:81
11.03.22	Castelló - Melilla	92:91 OT (82:82)
05.11.21	Melilla - Castelló	58:75
03.01.20	Castelló - Melilla	81:91
22.02.19	Castelló - Melilla	73:81
02.11.18	Melilla - Castelló	82:72

Melilla - Castelló: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide