Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Merrimack Warriors		Alabama State Hornets

	1	2
	1.28	3.8
	1.33	3.4
	1.27	3.85	Watch
	1.27	3.77
	1.27	3.77
	1.25	3.75
	1.32	3.3
	1.29	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)	3.63 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 138.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merrimack Warriors
73.9%

Alabama State Hornets
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merrimack Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Alabama State Hornets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merrimack Warriors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alabama State Hornets than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alabama State Hornets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Merrimack Warriors - Alabama State Hornets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:66

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Preview

Recent matches Merrimack is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alabama State is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alabama State could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Merrimack is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merrimack Warriors basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.11.23	Samford Bulldogs - Merrimack Warriors	79:71 ✺
22.11.23	North Carolina A&T Aggies - Merrimack Warriors	73:96 ✺
15.11.23	Ohio State Buckeyes - Merrimack Warriors	76:52 ✺
12.11.23	Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors	65:71 ✺
06.11.23	Vermont Catamounts - Merrimack Warriors	67:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWL
- Alabama State Hornets basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.11.23	North Carolina A&T Aggies - Alabama State Hornets	73:88 ✺
22.11.23	Samford Bulldogs - Alabama State Hornets	99:67 ✺
17.11.23	Memphis Tigers - Alabama State Hornets	92:75 ✺
10.11.23	Iowa Hawkeyes - Alabama State Hornets	98:67 ✺
06.11.23	Ole Miss Rebels - Alabama State Hornets	69:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL

Merrimack Warriors - Alabama State Hornets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide