Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Vermont Catamounts		Merrimack Warriors

	1	2
	1.37	3.2
	1.33	3.1
	1.34	3.28
	1.35	2.97	Watch
	1.33	3.15
	1.32	3.23
	1.36	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.41)	3.17 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 136.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vermont Catamounts
70.2%

Merrimack Warriors
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vermont Catamounts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vermont Catamounts's performance.

Merrimack Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merrimack Warriors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vermont Catamounts than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vermont Catamounts that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merrimack Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vermont Catamounts - Merrimack Warriors Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -10, OT - Vermont (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vermont (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:65

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Preview

Recent performances by Vermont have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Merrimack is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vermont may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vermont is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vermont won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 184:163. (average 61.3:54.3).

Including home match between the teams, Vermont won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 67:55.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vermont Catamounts basketball
NCAA College Basketball
06.12.25	Pepperdine Waves - Vermont Catamounts	56:65 ✺
03.12.25	Oregon State Beavers - Vermont Catamounts	80:58 ✺
30.11.25	Vermont Catamounts - Yale Bulldogs	74:77 ✺
26.11.25	Princeton Tigers - Vermont Catamounts	74:79 ✺
25.11.25	Vermont Catamounts - Rhode Island Rams	65:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL
- Merrimack Warriors basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.12.25	Princeton Tigers - Merrimack Warriors	56:59 ✺
07.12.25	Merrimack Warriors - Fairfield Stags	74:63 ✺
04.12.25	Merrimack Warriors - Rider Broncs	68:66 ✺
30.11.25	La Salle Explorers - Merrimack Warriors	60:66 ✺
29.11.25	Hofstra Pride - Merrimack Warriors	78:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
09.11.24	Merrimack Warriors - Vermont Catamounts	65:51
06.11.23	Vermont Catamounts - Merrimack Warriors	67:55
04.12.22	Merrimack Warriors - Vermont Catamounts	43:66

Vermont Catamounts - Merrimack Warriors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide