Match Info

First League - Round 16

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Hala sportova 15. septembar (Valjevo)

Referee: Ivancevic V. (Srb)


	Metalac Valjevo		Radnički Kragujevac

	1	2
	1.48	2.37	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.38	2.67
	1.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.51)	2.82 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalac Valjevo
67.1%

Radnički Kragujevac
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalac Valjevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metalac Valjevo's performance.

Radnički Kragujevac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Radnički Kragujevac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalac Valjevo than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metalac Valjevo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnički Kragujevac than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radnički Kragujevac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metalac Valjevo - Radnički Kragujevac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Davis D.	5. Filipovic N.
24. Illes L.	13. Labovic D.
9. Koprivica M.	17. Marelja A.
1. Petrovic L.	19. Nikolic U.
7. Sekularac D.	7. Radovanovic N.
Substitutes
00. Danilovic U.	21. Deljhusa L.
3. Davis J.	9. Glisovic I.
8. Djukanovic D.	12. Maric D.
11. Dragojevic K.	10. Stevic F.
32. Hemphill R.	14. Tatic J.
44. Milutinovic M.
27. Odalovic D.
Coaches
. Pavkovic M.	. Todorovic I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalac Valjevo won 1.

Metalac Valjevo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Radnički has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Metalac Valjevo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Metalac Valjevo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Metalac Valjevo will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Metalac Valjevo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 842:866. (average 76.5:78.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalac Valjevo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 381:366. (average 76.2:73.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Radnicki	1	1	0	93:88	2
14	KK Metalac	1	0	1	78:82	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Metalac Valjevo
Serbian First League Basketball
12.01.26	Metalac Valjevo - BBK Radnicki	84:74 ✺
04.01.26	Mladost Zemun - Metalac Valjevo	73:78 ✺
27.12.25	Sombor - Metalac Valjevo	68:81 ✺
22.12.25	Metalac Valjevo - Dynamic	99:93 ✺
12.12.25	Sloboda Užice - Metalac Valjevo	100:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWL
- KK Radnički Kragujevac
Adriatic League 2
16.01.26	Podgorica - Radnički Kragujevac	92:90 ✺
Serbian First League Basketball
10.01.26	Sombor - Radnički Kragujevac	89:88 ✺
05.01.26	Radnički Kragujevac - Dynamic	78:77 ✺
27.12.25	Sloboda Užice - Radnički Kragujevac	101:79 ✺
21.12.25	Radnički Kragujevac - OKK Beograd	111:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian First League Basketball
04.10.25	Radnički Kragujevac - Metalac Valjevo	91:71
14.03.25	Radnički Kragujevac - Metalac Valjevo	82:76
30.11.24	Metalac Valjevo - Radnički Kragujevac	61:79
03.04.24	Radnički Kragujevac - Metalac Valjevo	86:80
13.12.23	Metalac Valjevo - Radnički Kragujevac	76:72
02.04.22	Metalac Valjevo - Radnički Kragujevac	81:75
11.12.21	Radnički Kragujevac - Metalac Valjevo	78:72

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