Match Info
NCAADate: 7 February 2026, Saturday
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Michigan State Spartans |
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Illinois Fighting Illini |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.83 |
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2 |
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1.8 |
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1.92 |
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1.82 |
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2.04 |
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1.78 |
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1.95 |
Watch |
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1.8 |
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2 |
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1.8 |
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1.91 |
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1.8 |
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2.05 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.8 (1.8) |
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1.98 ↑ (1.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 142.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Michigan State Spartans 52.3% | Illinois Fighting Illini 47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Michigan State Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Illinois Fighting Illini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illinois Fighting Illini than the current prediction. (-3.5%)Michigan State Spartans - Illinois Fighting Illini Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Michigan State (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:70 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 4.In recent matches, Michigan State has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Illinois is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).Michigan State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win. We predict that Illinois will win today's game, with odds of 1.94.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1449:1341. (average 72.5:67.1).Including home matches between the teams, Michigan State won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 739:667. (average 73.9:66.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NCAA College Basketball | | | 15.02.25 | Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan State Spartans | 65:79 | | 19.01.25 | Michigan State Spartans - Illinois Fighting Illini | 80:78 | | 10.02.24 | Michigan State Spartans - Illinois Fighting Illini | 88:80 | | 11.01.24 | Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan State Spartans | 68:71 | | 13.01.23 | Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan State Spartans | 75:66 | | 19.02.22 | Michigan State Spartans - Illinois Fighting Illini | 74:79 | | 25.01.22 | Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan State Spartans | 56:55 |
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