Match Info

NCAA

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Purdue Boilermakers		Illinois Fighting Illini

	1	2
	1.37	3.2
	1.35	2.9
	1.4	3.06
	1.35	2.97	Watch
	1.33	3.15
	1.34	3.23
	1.36	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.65)	3.11 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Purdue Boilermakers
69.6%

Illinois Fighting Illini
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Purdue Boilermakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Purdue Boilermakers's performance.

Illinois Fighting Illini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Illinois Fighting Illini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Purdue Boilermakers than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Purdue Boilermakers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illinois Fighting Illini than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illinois Fighting Illini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Purdue Boilermakers - Illinois Fighting Illini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:73

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Purdue won 4.

Purdue is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Illinois is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Illinois may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Purdue might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Purdue won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1382:1346. (average 69.1:67.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Purdue won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 689:597. (average 76.6:66.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Purdue Boilermakers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
20.01.26	UCLA Bruins - Purdue Boilermakers	69:67 ✺
17.01.26	USC Trojans - Purdue Boilermakers	64:69 ✺
14.01.26	Purdue Boilermakers - Iowa Hawkeyes	79:72 ✺
10.01.26	Purdue Boilermakers - Penn State Nittany Lions	93:85 ✺
07.01.26	Purdue Boilermakers - Washington Huskies	81:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWW
- Illinois Fighting Illini basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.01.26	Illinois Fighting Illini - Maryland Terrapins	89:70 ✺
17.01.26	Illinois Fighting Illini - Minnesota Golden Gophers	77:67 ✺
14.01.26	Northwestern Wildcats - Illinois Fighting Illini	68:79 ✺
11.01.26	Iowa Hawkeyes - Illinois Fighting Illini	69:75 ✺
08.01.26	Illinois Fighting Illini - Rutgers Scarlet Knights	81:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
07.03.25	Illinois Fighting Illini - Purdue Boilermakers	88:80
05.03.24	Illinois Fighting Illini - Purdue Boilermakers	71:77
05.01.24	Purdue Boilermakers - Illinois Fighting Illini	83:78
05.03.23	Purdue Boilermakers - Illinois Fighting Illini	76:71
08.02.22	Purdue Boilermakers - Illinois Fighting Illini	84:68
17.01.22	Illinois Fighting Illini - Purdue Boilermakers	88:96 OT (69:69)
02.01.21	Illinois Fighting Illini - Purdue Boilermakers	66:58

Purdue Boilermakers - Illinois Fighting Illini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide