Match Info

NBA

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Target Center (Minneapolis, MN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	ESPN 1
Poland	TVP Sport
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Minnesota Timberwolves		Oklahoma City Thunder

	1	2
	2.9	1.43	Watch
	2.8	1.44
	2.86	1.47
	3.08	1.42	Watch
	2.8	1.4
	3.11	1.43
	2.9	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.8)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 228.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota Timberwolves
32.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota Timberwolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Oklahoma City Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Timberwolves than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oklahoma City Thunder than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves - Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Oklahoma City will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oklahoma City: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 225.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Oklahoma City (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 111:118

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. McDaniels J.	21. Wiggins A.
30. Randle J.	6. Williams J.
27. Gobert R.	7. Holmgren C.
5. Edwards A.	5. Dort L.
0. DiVincenzo D.	2. Gilgeous-Alexander S.
Substitutes
19. Beringer J.	23. Barnhizer B.
22. Clark J.	13. Dieng O.
4. Dillingham R.	55. Hartenstein I.
8. Hyland B.	11. Joe I.
7. Ingles J.	22. Wallace C.
9. Juzang J.	34. Williams K.
33. Miller L.	3. Youngblood C.
11. Reid N.
Coaches
. Finch C.	. Daigneault M.

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Oklahoma City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Oklahoma City is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Minnesota: Shannon Jr. T. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Oklahoma City: Caruso A. (Groin Injury) Hartenstein I. (Calf Injury) Mitchell A. (Hip Injury) Sorber T. (Knee Injury) Topic N. (Groin Injury) Wallace C. (Hip Injury) Williams J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Minnesota: Edwards A. (Foot Injury) Miller L. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Oklahoma City: Williams J. (Suspended)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2253:2266. (average 112.7:113.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1186:1110. (average 118.6:111).

Outrights of NBA for now

Oklahoma City Thunder: 21.48% Minnesota Timberwolves: 3.27%

Last Results with these Odds

Oklahoma City Thunder - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 66.04%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA
28.01.26	Dallas Mavericks - Minnesota Timberwolves	105:118 ✺
26.01.26	Minnesota Timberwolves - Golden State Warriors	108:83 ✺
25.01.26	Minnesota Timberwolves - Golden State Warriors	85:111 ✺
22.01.26	Minnesota Timberwolves - Chicago Bulls	115:120 ✺
20.01.26	Utah Jazz - Minnesota Timberwolves	127:122 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA
27.01.26	Oklahoma City Thunder - New Orleans Pelicans	104:95 ✺
25.01.26	Oklahoma City Thunder - Toronto Raptors	101:103 ✺
23.01.26	Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers	114:117 ✺
21.01.26	Milwaukee Bucks - Oklahoma City Thunder	102:122 ✺
19.01.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Oklahoma City Thunder	104:136 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
19.12.25	Minnesota Timberwolves - Oklahoma City Thunder	112:107
26.11.25	Oklahoma City Thunder - Minnesota Timberwolves	113:105
28.05.25	Oklahoma City Thunder - Minnesota Timberwolves	124:94
26.05.25	Minnesota Timberwolves - Oklahoma City Thunder	126:128
24.05.25	Minnesota Timberwolves - Oklahoma City Thunder	143:101
22.05.25	Oklahoma City Thunder - Minnesota Timberwolves	118:103
20.05.25	Oklahoma City Thunder - Minnesota Timberwolves	114:88

Minnesota Timberwolves - Oklahoma City Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide