Match Info

NBA - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Target Center (Minneapolis, MN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	ESPN
Sweden	HBO Max
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Minnesota Timberwolves		San Antonio Spurs

	1	2
	2.7	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.76	1.5
	2.74	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.81	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.64)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 219.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Minnesota Timberwolves
35.7%

San Antonio Spurs
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota Timberwolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

San Antonio Spurs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Timberwolves than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio Spurs than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	0%	64.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves - San Antonio Spurs Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 12 - 35.3%). San Antonio will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Antonio: 48.6% – 80.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5, OT - Minnesota (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Antonio Spurs will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 28.6%). San Antonio (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 108:113

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. McDaniels J.	24. Vassell D.
30. Randle J.	30. Champagnie J.
27. Gobert R.	1. Wembanyama V.
5. Edwards A.	5. Castle S.
13. Dosunmu A.	4. Fox D.
Coaches
. Finch C.	. Johnson M.

Preview

San Antonio Spurs leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

San Antonio could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Minnesota: DiVincenzo D. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2272:2262. (average 113.6:113.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1160:1109. (average 116:110.9).

Outrights of NBA for now

San Antonio Spurs: 21.15% Minnesota Timberwolves: 3.26%

Last Results with these Odds

Minnesota Timberwolves - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.77%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

San Antonio Spurs - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 64.23%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA
12.05.26	San Antonio Spurs - Minnesota Timberwolves	126:97 ✺
10.05.26	Minnesota Timberwolves - San Antonio Spurs	114:109 ✺
08.05.26	Minnesota Timberwolves - San Antonio Spurs	108:115 ✺
06.05.26	San Antonio Spurs - Minnesota Timberwolves	133:95 ✺
04.05.26	San Antonio Spurs - Minnesota Timberwolves	102:104 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWLLW
- San Antonio Spurs
NBA
12.05.26	San Antonio Spurs - Minnesota Timberwolves	126:97 ✺
10.05.26	Minnesota Timberwolves - San Antonio Spurs	114:109 ✺
08.05.26	Minnesota Timberwolves - San Antonio Spurs	108:115 ✺
06.05.26	San Antonio Spurs - Minnesota Timberwolves	133:95 ✺
04.05.26	San Antonio Spurs - Minnesota Timberwolves	102:104 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
12.05.26	San Antonio Spurs - Minnesota Timberwolves	126:97
10.05.26	Minnesota Timberwolves - San Antonio Spurs	114:109
08.05.26	Minnesota Timberwolves - San Antonio Spurs	108:115
06.05.26	San Antonio Spurs - Minnesota Timberwolves	133:95
04.05.26	San Antonio Spurs - Minnesota Timberwolves	102:104
17.01.26	San Antonio Spurs - Minnesota Timberwolves	126:129
11.01.26	Minnesota Timberwolves - San Antonio Spurs	104:103

Upcoming Matches