The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Missouri State Bears 55.4%
Southern Illinois Salukis 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.3%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.3%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Missouri State Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Missouri State Bears's form might have worsened.
Southern Illinois Salukis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southern Illinois Salukis's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Missouri State Bears than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Missouri State Bears, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern Illinois Salukis than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southern Illinois Salukis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Missouri State Bears - Southern Illinois Salukis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:67
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Missouri State won 1.
Missouri State has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Southern Illinois is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Southern Illinois could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Missouri State will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Missouri State won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 1387:1393 (average 69.4:69.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Missouri State won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 561:542 (average 70.1:67.8).