The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Evansville Purple Aces 36.1%
Missouri State Bears 63.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
55.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
55.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Evansville Purple Aces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Evansville Purple Aces's form might have worsened.
Missouri State Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Missouri State Bears's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evansville Purple Aces than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evansville Purple Aces, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Missouri State Bears than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Missouri State Bears, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Evansville Purple Aces - Missouri State Bears Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 65:70
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Evansville won 0.
Evansville has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Missouri State is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Missouri State could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Missouri State will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Evansville won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 1332:1386 (average 66.6:69.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Evansville won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 830:824 (average 69.2:68.7).
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