Match Info

Prva Liga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Basketball Dome Cedevita (Zagreb)


	Mladost		Kaštela

	1	2
	1.57	2.2
			Watch
	1.59	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.59)	2.22 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mladost
58.4%

Kaštela
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mladost has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Kaštela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladost than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaštela than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Mladost - Kaštela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Ferderber F.	4. Klepo A.
16. Ivancic P.	5. Lisica D.
17. Krstanovic S.	11. Markota P.
10. Stojic L. S.	0. Vidovic J. (C)
13. Subasic D.	20. Zukanovic I.
Substitutes
4. Anzulovic L. (C)	16. Delas M.
9. Kuzmic G.	6. Resetina I.
21. Pavic I.	2. Roso N.
7. Pesic L.	3. Sanader J.
0. Seba A.	33. Zebic D.
6. Zemljic N.
8. Zivko F.
Coaches
	. Biocic T.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.

Mladost is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).

Recent matches Kaštela is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mladost will have a mini benefit in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mladost won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 232:244 (average 77.3:81.3).

Including matches at home between the teams, Mladost won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 166:157 (average 83:78.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HAKK Mladost
Croatian Prva Liga Basketball
24.04.25	Mladost - Kaštela	72:64 ✺
16.04.25	Kaštela - Mladost	87:66 ✺
13.04.25	Mladost - Zagreb	76:62 ✺
06.04.25	Hermes Zagreb - Mladost	64:90 ✺
29.03.25	Đakovo - Mladost	74:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW
- KK Kaštela
Croatian Prva Liga Basketball
24.04.25	Mladost - Kaštela	72:64 ✺
16.04.25	Kaštela - Mladost	87:66 ✺
12.04.25	Gorica - Kaštela	116:109 OT ✺
06.04.25	Kaštela - Zagreb	91:89 ✺
29.03.25	Bosco - Kaštela	72:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva Liga Basketball
24.04.25	Mladost - Kaštela	72:64
16.04.25	Kaštela - Mladost	87:66
19.01.25	Mladost - Kaštela	94:93

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