Match Info

Segunda FEB - Round 25

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Pabellón Alameda (Sevilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Morón		Ponferrada

	1	2
	1.32	2.85	Watch
	1.26	3.15
	1.52	2.31
	1.5	2.5
	1.36	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)	2.74 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morón
66.3%

Ponferrada
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ponferrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morón than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferrada than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Morón - Ponferrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:74

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morón won 5.

Morón is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ponferrada is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Morón is the team to beat.

We predict that Morón will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Morón won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 724:657. (average 72.4:65.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Morón won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 342:314. (average 85.5:78.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Morón
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
05.04.26	Leonesa - Morón	83:93 ✺
28.03.26	Morón - Valle de Egüés	77:74 ✺
22.03.26	Toledo - Morón	74:75 ✺
14.03.26	Morón - Cáceres CB	86:87 ✺
07.03.26	Córdoba - Morón	69:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW
- CB Ciudad de Ponferrada
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
04.04.26	Ponferrada - Logroño	86:84 OT ✺
29.03.26	Iraurgi SB - Ponferrada	85:64 ✺
21.03.26	Ponferrada - Jaen	79:84 ✺
15.03.26	Caja 87 - Ponferrada	73:66 ✺
08.03.26	Valladolid - Ponferrada	86:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
20.12.25	Ponferrada - Morón	61:77
02.03.24	Morón - Ponferrada	80:70
18.11.23	Ponferrada - Morón	69:75
11.02.23	Ponferrada - Morón	76:80
06.04.22	Morón - Ponferrada	86:78
29.12.21	Ponferrada - Morón	56:72
30.03.21	Ponferrada - Morón	Canceled

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