Match Info

Segunda FEB - Round 22

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	LaLiga+


	Toledo		Morón

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.53	2.18
	1.49	2.36
	1.52	2.31
	1.57	2.3
	1.53	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.54)	2.29 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toledo
59.9%

Morón
40.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toledo than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toledo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morón than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Toledo - Morón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:76

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Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Toledo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Toledo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toledo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 90:93.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Toledo
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
15.03.26	Logroño - Toledo	65:67 ✺
08.03.26	Toledo - Iraurgi SB	85:68 ✺
22.02.26	Jaen - Toledo	67:64 ✺
15.02.26	Toledo - Caja 87	82:79 OT ✺
07.02.26	Ponferrada - Toledo	89:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL
- CB Morón
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
14.03.26	Morón - Cáceres CB	86:87 ✺
07.03.26	Córdoba - Morón	69:74 ✺
21.02.26	Morón - Clavijo	78:66 ✺
14.02.26	Circulo Gijón - Morón	84:93 ✺
07.02.26	Valladolid - Morón	82:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
06.12.25	Morón - Toledo	93:90 OT

Toledo - Morón

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Toledo - Morón Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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