Match Info

ABA League - Round 29

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Location: Topolica Sport Hall (Bar)

Referee: Rebeusek A. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 3


	Mornar Bar		KK Split

	1	2
	2.8	1.36
	2.98	1.34	Watch
	3.33	1.32
	2.99	1.35	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.02	1.35
	2.98	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	1.35 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mornar Bar
30.9%

KK Split
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mornar Bar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

KK Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KK Split than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Mornar Bar - KK Split Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 162.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Buljevic L.	5. Jordano A.
11. Carter C.	44. Kapusta B.
23. Pember D.	2. Shorter S.
2. Rogic R.	24. Skara D.
7. Runjic L.	7. Tisma B.
Substitutes
33. Bulatovic S.	6. Katic T.
6. Cubic A.	10. Kucic V.
1. Kovacevic N.	98. Ljubicic K.
44. Pekovic N.	1. Sikiric A.
88. Radetic L.	0. Smith A.
0. Spicanovic M.
3. Thomasson N.
Coaches
. Pavicevic M.	. Mrsic V.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 1.

Mornar Bar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Split is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mornar Bar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Split is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 732:745 (average 81.3:82.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Mornar Bar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 342:317 (average 85.5:79.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Mornar Bar
Adriatic League
22.04.25	KK Zadar - Mornar Bar	100:69 ✺
12.04.25	Mornar Bar - Dubai	71:83 ✺
04.04.25	FMP Beograd - Mornar Bar	87:72 ✺
30.03.25	Mornar Bar - Krka	78:70 ✺
23.03.25	Partizan Belgrade - Mornar Bar	89:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWL
- KK Split
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
26.04.25	KK Split - Dubrovnik	93:89 ✺
Adriatic League
20.04.25	Dubai - KK Split	87:82 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
17.04.25	KK Split - Virtus Zagreb	87:67 ✺
Adriatic League
14.04.25	KK Split - FMP Beograd	72:85 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
11.04.25	Cibona - KK Split	74:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
27.12.24	KK Split - Mornar Bar	87:73
08.03.24	KK Split - Mornar Bar	87:75
26.11.23	Mornar Bar - KK Split	76:93
17.03.23	KK Split - Mornar Bar	91:80
05.12.22	Mornar Bar - KK Split	104:88
11.03.22	KK Split - Mornar Bar	76:67
21.11.21	Mornar Bar - KK Split	81:65

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