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Current Win Probability
Mount Gambier Pioneers 38.6%
Keilor Thunder 61.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.8%
55.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
49.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mount Gambier Pioneers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mount Gambier Pioneers's form might have worsened.
Keilor Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keilor Thunder's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mount Gambier Pioneers than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mount Gambier Pioneers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keilor Thunder than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keilor Thunder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mount Gambier Pioneers - Keilor Thunder Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:95
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Preview
Mount Gambier is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Keilor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Keilor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Keilor could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mount Gambier won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 465:406. (average 93:81.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Mount Gambier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 189:178. (average 94.5:89).
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